Eastern European members of NATO are invoking Article 4, which means urgent consultations on military plans for the alliance.
— Paul Sonne (@PaulSonne) February 24, 2022
TX04Aggie said:
Will there be a real incursion into Ukraine from the Belarus border as well, since they are a puppet of Russia?
Border video already been played of Russian IFV's rolling through.
Depends on how one defines "large scale." On the order of anything in WWII where we landed entire army groups in 1-3 days, nope.Eliminatus said:Not to mention the fact a large scale amphibious assault took place at all. (If it actually did). When was the last time that happened? Korea?W said:
from a military history standpoint...
the amphibious assault of Odessa might be a first.
(I think the Germans and Romanians took the city by land during WWII)
Russian does not have a massive amphibious component to its navy. They have enough to land some troops, but not an entire army, especially in only an hour or two.
Ukrainian Defense Minister said Odessa hasn't fallen. I haven't seen what type of assault is taking place. Seems like some Russian disinformation out there.Eliminatus said:Not to mention the fact a large scale amphibious assault took place at all. (If it actually did). When was the last time that happened? Korea?W said:
from a military history standpoint...
the amphibious assault of Odessa might be a first.
(I think the Germans and Romanians took the city by land during WWII)
(I'm tipsy, so be nice)
For those wondering, I looked it up earlier after Ukrainian ambo invoked it.Rossticus said:Eastern European members of NATO are invoking Article 4, which means urgent consultations on military plans for the alliance.
— Paul Sonne (@PaulSonne) February 24, 2022
https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natolive/official_texts_17120.htmQuote:
Article 4
The Parties will consult together whenever, in the opinion of any of them, the territorial integrity, political independence or security of any of the Parties is threatened.
He did it in regard to Russia and called for the stepping down of it as the chair of the Security Council. Wonder what validity it has according to the wording of the Article.
Either way, it takes time to stir NATO into anything. We shall see
there have been smaller ones in the years since
they just need to apply some pressure from the south; the main thrust is coming across the border with Belarus from the north.Rapier108 said:Depends on how one defines "large scale." On the order of anything in WWII where we landed entire army groups in 1-3 days, nope.Eliminatus said:Not to mention the fact a large scale amphibious assault took place at all. (If it actually did). When was the last time that happened? Korea?W said:
from a military history standpoint...
the amphibious assault of Odessa might be a first.
(I think the Germans and Romanians took the city by land during WWII)
Russian does not have a massive amphibious component to its navy. They have enough to land some troops, but not an entire army, especially in only an hour or two.
TRM said:Ukrainian Defense Minister said Odessa hasn't fallen. I haven't seen what type of assault is taking place. Seems like some Russian disinformation out there.Eliminatus said:Not to mention the fact a large scale amphibious assault took place at all. (If it actually did). When was the last time that happened? Korea?W said:
from a military history standpoint...
the amphibious assault of Odessa might be a first.
(I think the Germans and Romanians took the city by land during WWII)
I'm also seeing denials of any kind of large scale amphibious assault on Odessa but who the hell knows what to believe at this point.
Rapier108 said:
Live cameras from Odessa show people walking around like nothing is happening. Some carrying bags of groceries, others going along like a normal day.
Saw something that Ukrainian Government said it was a false report.
More and more proof that utopian ideas like "green energy" fall flat on their faceKenneth_2003 said:
More sanctions... Europe is critically short on natural resources and energy needed to serve their people much less fight a war and fuel a war machine.
Russia will certainly weaponize those oil and gas pipelines if NATO gets involved.
Europe has bowed to the green altar, North Africa? Middle East? Sub Saharran? The US? where will Europe get the energy/fuel to simply survive much less fight if they come to defense of Ukraine?
Brilliant move by Putin, and should be a surprise to no one
this is a real killer for Ukraine --- getting attacked on 2 sides.TX04Aggie said:
Will there be a real incursion into Ukraine from the Belarus border as well, since they are a puppet of Russia?
similar to Poland in 1939. Too much border to defend
Rapier108 said:
Live cameras from Odessa show people walking around like nothing is happening. Some carrying bags of groceries, others going along like a normal day.
Yeah I just went and looked up several supposed live webcams and things look somewhat normal there.
Well, Poland had an army which wasn't prepared to fight the First World War, much less the second. They still relied on cavalry. The Germans or Russians would have steamrolled them alone, just would have taken a little longer.W said:this is a real killer for Ukraine --- getting attacked on 2 sides.TX04Aggie said:
Will there be a real incursion into Ukraine from the Belarus border as well, since they are a puppet of Russia?
similar to Poland in 1939. Too much border to defend
Rossticus said:Eastern European members of NATO are invoking Article 4, which means urgent consultations on military plans for the alliance.
— Paul Sonne (@PaulSonne) February 24, 2022
All the 50+ years of money, meetings, infrastructure, for exactly this threat. Tweet says Article 4 is a strongly worded letter and scary serious sanctions is what I interpret.
#BREAKING: Top Ukrainian official says “you can be certain that hundreds of Ukrainian service members have already died from the Russian strikes.” — @westonblasi https://t.co/PqoFXKVCuT pic.twitter.com/91frw8Ee5o
— Breaking911 (@Breaking911) February 24, 2022
https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2022/02/massive-russian-navy-armada-moves-into-place-off-ukraine/
Pretty much worst case for them. Ukraine is NOT a strong military country. Pride can only go so far. They have a mash of old Soviet equipment and more modern Russian stuff with Western small arms sprinkled in. One area they definitely lack comparatively is military comms and intel. Which Russia is absolutely attacking first.W said:this is a real killer for Ukraine --- getting attacked on 2 sides.TX04Aggie said:
Will there be a real incursion into Ukraine from the Belarus border as well, since they are a puppet of Russia?
similar to Poland in 1939. Too much border to defend
On paper from what I have seen, this is a lost war before it began. Of course, that is just wargaming on paper. Take the fight to the city streets with an armed and determined populace and this drags out and gets dirty. Again, I think this is the only real option Ukraine has really. With the attacks all over pinning down the regular forces, Russia should have the manpower and mobility to dictate the fight in a conventional sense. Soooo......Ukraine will probably have to go quite unconventional IMO
Undoubtedly. Those MLRS strikes earlier were not at a training area. Those things are f'ing nasty. Grid Killers is another name for them and pretty damn accurate.Agthatbuilds said:#BREAKING: Top Ukrainian official says “you can be certain that hundreds of Ukrainian service members have already died from the Russian strikes.” — @westonblasi https://t.co/PqoFXKVCuT pic.twitter.com/91frw8Ee5o
— Breaking911 (@Breaking911) February 24, 2022
I remember watching a reporter on the first line trenches at the border. Looks like something me and the neighborhood boys built. Literally the first line of defense. The troops there were the equivalent of our National Guard but poorly trained, though stoic, bless them. There was no way they didn't get rolled up in the dark.
Statement of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of #Ukraine
— Euromaidan PR (@EuromaidanPR) February 24, 2022
on the new wave of aggression of the #Russian Federation against Ukraine | EMPR #RussiaInvadesUkraine pic.twitter.com/Xxbx8DYkx2
Nice. they are digging in. A protracted war is the last thing Russia can afford right now.jabberwalkie09 said:Statement of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of #Ukraine
— Euromaidan PR (@EuromaidanPR) February 24, 2022
on the new wave of aggression of the #Russian Federation against Ukraine | EMPR #RussiaInvadesUkraine pic.twitter.com/Xxbx8DYkx2
I don't know if it is my Texan upbringing or my male mentality when it comes to home and hearth but damn it, hats off to these folks.
"Russian troops crossing into Ukraine from occupied Crimea." #Ukraine #Russia pic.twitter.com/ClbfzWFKQc
— Aleph א (@no_itsmyturn) February 24, 2022
they got along pretty well after the Soviet breakup...until recent years
Rapier108 said:
Live cameras from Odessa show people walking around like nothing is happening. Some carrying bags of groceries, others going along like a normal day.
"Live"
Possible Russian Jet shot down by Ukrainian SAM. #Ukraine pic.twitter.com/ND9Fy1FhiR
— Poised Tactical (@PoisedTactical) February 24, 2022
Senior German Green now saying "we must provide Ukraine with everything it needs for its self-defence. This is a turning point." That's a major change in the Greens' - and Germany's - approach to arms exports. https://t.co/f7J4qR2Xtq
— Guy Chazan (@GuyChazan) February 24, 2022
Agthatbuilds said:Possible Russian Jet shot down by Ukrainian SAM. #Ukraine pic.twitter.com/ND9Fy1FhiR
— Poised Tactical (@PoisedTactical) February 24, 2022
Do we call that a twofer? The plane and pilot?
This looks like a Kh-31P air-launched anti-radar missile wreckage reportedly in Kyiv. https://t.co/NR8xDyymUc pic.twitter.com/CQ4UGq4Bnr
— Rob Lee (@RALee85) February 24, 2022