It's the official start of Hurricane Season and we have a disturbance in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico. This disturbance has a 70% chance of formation in the next 2 & 7 days. If it does become a named storm, its name would be Arlene. {2:25pm Thursday} #rgv #rgvwx pic.twitter.com/kGk30QebfD
— KRGV First Warn 5 (@KRGV_Weather) June 1, 2023
Wow. Aggressive opening bid from NHC. pic.twitter.com/vKb0IGR4Td
— Matt Lanza π€πΌ (@mattlanza) June 19, 2023
Testing out a new plot for the multi-model ensemble, color-coding ensemble track density plots by the ensemble suite.
— Tomer Burg (@burgwx) June 18, 2023
This can help distinguish prominent differences in model suites - for example, notice how the GEFS suite primarily recurves 92L while the EPS track it west: pic.twitter.com/5HwvGA5hjm
Low level of confidence since it's 10+ days out but it's a reminder to be watchful in August/September.
Close in developing system that won't have time to become dangerous. Seems too good to be true.
8pm EDT Thursday 17 Aug -- It is a busy outlook map tonight in the Atlantic. In addition to #98L & #99L with a high π΄ & medium π chance of genesis respectively, 2β£more areas further west have a low π‘ chance of genesis in next 7 days.
— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) August 17, 2023
Latest Outlook-->https://t.co/DboWSR44Dt pic.twitter.com/MDQcoImcw6
The latest from @NHC_Atlantic on potential development of a tropical wave expected to move through the Gulf early next week. For the #rgv, hopeful rain and a break in triple-digit heat are good news Tuesday. A stronger system would add wind and possible flooding. Stay tuned. pic.twitter.com/3JOeQVdwz9
— NWS Brownsville (@NWSBrownsville) August 18, 2023
Amazing what this high pressure deal has done to what is the oddest summer I have seen in deep STX.
10 am CDT: NHC is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine. Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for portions of south Texas. Here are the Key Messages. https://t.co/tW4KeGdBFb pic.twitter.com/U6hGg4kjzi
— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) August 21, 2023
Nice cloudy September like day but that is it. I just knew we weren't gonna get much rain. But I think the laredo area and to the north is getting hammered.
OXDL45 said:
So close.
Close enough for the farmers who still have cotton in the fields.
Idalia has unfortunately formed an eyewall overnight, with increasingly vigorous convection aiding in further intensification.
— Tomer Burg (@burgwx) August 29, 2023
With very warm waters & decreasing wind shear in its path, rapid intensification is expected today bringing it to a category 3 or 4 major hurricane. https://t.co/VkJfQDCpG3 pic.twitter.com/UHnIKJQoTx
Not much change / better organization to #93L in the Gulf of Mexico early this afternoon. @NHC_Atlantic leaves odds at a low 30% chance.
— Shel Winkley π (@KBTXShel) October 10, 2023
Hurricane Hunters are flying there now to gather details on the structure. If nothing else, better data to plug into evening forecast models pic.twitter.com/KXIxx6pNCd